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Time Cycles

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Eclipse Points

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Square of Twelve

MetaTrader 5, Forex Factory, Gann Analyst) are now available to members of our paid and free content offerings, including The Gann Deck. These tools provide excellent analysis of the evolution of the ADX and MACD relative to their historical norms. From a general perspective, the ADX has been a good indicator of general market direction for upwards of 40 years. It works well in up trending markets and even in consolidations, but its effectiveness declines with market short term retreats. The ADX is typically overbought in major bear markets, while it is underbought in major bull markets. This means it serves well as an indicator of general direction. I was recently asked how we apply the information in the ADX and MACD to the market at hand. That’s a fair question and one we frequently face. It also provides us a chance to illustrate the kind of insight a single chart allows. As every trader knows, the information conveyed by a single chart check this limited. Yet many observations are equally relevant along different dimensions. And that’s where the insight of the ADX and related indicators enters the picture. We also note that you shouldn’t expect to see the market often veer far from its broader direction.

Hexagon Charts

While its overall trend is important as a general guide to market direction, the market tends to settle along that direction. That said, the market tends to resist the last bear market pullback (MACD bails) more strongly than prior ones, so it can diverge for extended periods of time. With that said, we’ll start with the ADX as an indicator of the general trend. The ADX: General Market Direction The ADX (green line in the below chart) is a general index. It represents a combination of the relative strength of the direction itself, along with its pace. The green line in the ADX is its value. Since it is an index, it begins on the lower end of the scale (in the case of a 10 day MACD). Most of the time, when the ADX is below 25, along with an ADL above 36, the general market is in a bear market (i.e. it has turned). When it crosses above 35, then a bull market has started. As a general guide, the MACD (blue line in the chart) has generally been a better predictor than the ADX. The reason it is more effective as a predictor than the ADX is due to its greater sensitivity to its own recent moves (which are typically in the direction of the current trend) versus its broader directional scale.

Astral Patterns

The ADX as a Market Direction Indicator Sometimes a trader or analyst is required to make sense of market behavior more directly. In theseHow do W.D. Gann Arcs adapt to periods of high volatility? There is one solution to this paradox, though: an “Adaptive W.D. Gann” (AWG) strategy. This article explains the dynamics and principles of this market-tested adjustment between the long and short positions. Since the beginning of the Great Acceleration, there has been a strong need to find low-volatility ways of profiting from “high volatility” in financial markets. The way around the paradox of accelerating markets is to adjust to changes in volatility, even of a short-term or temporary nature. This strategy adapts to periods of volatility by adjusting to changes in the underlying trend. Here I want to focus on a certain type of market oscillator derived especially from ARP®. The Arcs are known specifically as W.D.

Annual Forecasting

Gann Arcs. These Arcs work not only with the price of financial assets, stocks, or futures but also with the “time in days.” To explain how the Arcs adapt and thus protect “against” volatility, we will use an example for the ASOS stock index, which should already be generally known from the many presentations. However, a few figures will help to clarify the results. The figure on the left is from the UBS MarketScope® (used since the beginning of 2011 for historical data) and compares two 60-day periods: the second quarter of 2006 to the end of September of 2007 and the second quarter of 2008 to the present. In this view we can observe that the ASOS stock index reached the high of 3,080 in the beginning of October 2006. Following a strong market correction and price fall in November 2006, the market stabilised in January 2007 and over a time of 42 days reached below the lower limit of the two sample periods, i.e., 1,500 on April 11th of 2007. After another period below the lower limit of the 2-sample periods, when the index rose significantly in September-November 2007, it fell again, from 11.5% to 8.7% and finally to 10.3% between December 2007 and February 2008.

Astrological Charting

One concludes from this that in this time period the ASOS index, which was still rising, was unstable. This is indicated by the three- and four-shaped curve that forms the “three-bar rally.” The time in days since mid-January 2008 was 20, which is about the time it took for the index to reach 5.5% above the sample period low. Indicating by a second or parallel sample period the point of 16 would be somewhat better, as it can be concluded from the three-bar rally that the index was overbought very recently. Since the beginning of the Great Acceleration, investors who do not use indicators such as W.D. Gann Arcs to adjust very quickly to periods of medium volatility are on the right